Round 112
Regulating Short-Term Rental Housing
A mid-sized city with a growing tourism economy has seen short-term rental platforms (like Airbnb) proliferate, now comprising roughly 8% of housing units in the urban core. Residents complain of rising rents, hollowed-out neighborhoods, and noise/nuisance issues, while many homeowners rely on rental income and the tourism sector supports thousands of local jobs. The city council must adopt a policy framework this quarter. Goals: preserve long-term housing affordability and neighborhood stability, sustain tourism revenue and small-business income, and keep enforcement costs manageable for a limited city budget. Constraints: any policy must be enforceable with existing staff levels, avoid excessive litigation risk from property owners, and be politically viable given a closely divided council. Tradeoffs include impacts on housing supply, tax revenue, tourism competitiveness with neighboring cities, and fairness to owners who depend on rental income versus renters priced out of the market.
Status
DECIDEDWinner
F · Require all short-term rental hosts to be owner-occupants renting out only their primary residence, eliminating investor-owned whole-unit rentals entirely.Majority
F · Require all short-term rental hosts to be owner-occupants renting out only their primary residence, eliminating investor-owned whole-unit rentals entirely.Duration
7362 msTopic
Options
Checks
Baselines
PPV
Top Influences
Samples
Answer Distribution
PPV
Influences
| Label | Role | Score |
|---|---|---|
| GPT 5.4 mini | delegate | 1.174 |
| Gemini 3 Flash Preview | delegate | 1.174 |
| Claude Sonnet 5 | delegate | 1.000 |
Voting matrix
Constructed Delegation Matrix
| To / From | Claude Sonnet 5 | GPT 5.4 mini | Gemini 3 Flash Preview |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| GPT 5.4 mini | 0.174 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Gemini 3 Flash Preview | 0.174 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| A | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| B | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| C | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.000 |
| D | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| E | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| F | 0.652 | 0.000 | 1.000 |
Embeddings
Sample Embeddings
Samples
Agent Responses
Option C best balances the competing goals: neighborhood-level caps directly target areas most affected by housing loss while allowing tourism revenue to continue citywide, and a lottery/waitlist is administratively simple and defensible against claims of arbi...
Option F best balances the competing goals: by restricting short-term rentals to owner-occupied primary residences, it curbs investor-driven conversion of housing stock (protecting affordability and neighborhood stability) while still allowing homeowners to ea...
Option F best balances the competing goals: it directly targets the mechanism most linked to housing loss (investor-owned whole-unit rentals) while preserving income opportunities for resident homeowners, which is politically defensible and fair. It is enforce...
Option F best balances the goals: it preserves owner rental income for residents who live locally (protecting political viability and fairness), directly targets the investor-driven whole-unit rentals most responsible for housing stock depletion and neighborho...
Option F best balances the goals: it directly targets the investor-driven conversion of housing stock into rentals (the main affordability/neighborhood-stability concern) while still allowing homeowners to earn supplemental income, preserving political viabili...
Option F best balances the stated goals: it curbs the investor-driven conversion of housing stock (addressing affordability and neighborhood stability) while still allowing homeowners to earn rental income, preserving some tourism supply and small-business act...
Option C best balances the competing goals: neighborhood-level caps directly limit housing-stock erosion where it's most acute while still allowing continued tourism revenue and owner participation citywide. A lottery/waitlist system is administratively simple...
This option balances affordability and neighborhood stability with continued tourism revenue by limiting saturation without an outright ban, preserving existing owner income streams while controlling growth. It is enforceable through a permit registry with exi...
The city needs a policy that directly protects housing supply and neighborhood stability while still allowing some tourism activity and staying administratively feasible. A neighborhood cap with a lottery/waitlist balances these goals better than an outright b...
The city needs a policy that directly protects housing supply and neighborhood stability without requiring a large new enforcement apparatus. A neighborhood cap with a permit system limits concentration where impacts are worst, remains administratively clear, ...
The city needs a policy that directly protects housing supply and neighborhood stability while still allowing some tourism-related rentals and keeping enforcement feasible. A neighborhood cap with a permit system is a balanced middle ground: it limits concentr...
The most balanced option is the one that directly limits concentration of short-term rentals while still allowing some market activity and tourism revenue. A neighborhood-based cap with permits and a waitlist addresses housing pressure and neighborhood stabili...
The city needs a policy that directly limits conversion of housing to short-term rentals while still leaving room for tourism and some owner income. A neighborhood cap with a permit lottery is a balanced approach: it preserves housing, is predictable and enfor...
The best option is the one that directly limits the concentration of short-term rentals while still allowing some supply for tourism and homeowner income. A neighborhood-based cap with a permit waitlist balances housing protection, neighborhood stability, and ...
The strongest option is the neighborhood-based cap with a permit system because it directly limits concentration where housing pressure is highest while still allowing some short-term rentals to remain, preserving tourism income. A fixed percentage and waitlis...
The most balanced option is the neighborhood cap with permits. It directly limits concentration in the most affected areas, helping preserve long-term housing and neighborhood stability, while still allowing some short-term rentals so tourism and host income a...
Option (F) directly addresses the core goals of preserving long-term housing affordability and neighborhood stability by removing commercial investor-owned units from the market. By restricting rentals to primary residences, the city curbs the "hollowing out" ...
Option (F) directly addresses the core tension by prioritizing long-term housing affordability and neighborhood stability through the elimination of commercial, investor-driven conversions. By restricting rentals to primary residences, the city preserves the l...
Option (F) directly addresses the core goal of preserving long-term housing affordability by returning investor-owned units to the housing market, while still supporting the tourism sector and local homeowners who rely on supplemental income. This "primary res...
To address housing affordability and neighborhood stability, the city must distinguish between supplemental income for residents and commercial hotel-style operations. Option (F) balances these needs by removing investor-owned units from the market to boost lo...
Option (F) directly addresses the core goals by removing commercial, investor-driven competition for long-term housing while preserving supplemental income for local homeowners and providing a manageable enforcement mechanism through residency verification. Th...
Option (F) directly addresses the core tension by preserving long-term housing supply and neighborhood stability through the removal of investor-led "hollowed-out" units. This "primary residence" model is a legally tested, politically viable compromise that pr...
Option (F) directly addresses the core tension by prioritizing long-term housing affordability and neighborhood stability while still allowing modest tourism growth and supplemental income for residents. By restricting rentals to owner-occupied primary residen...
Option (F) directly addresses the core goals of preserving housing affordability and neighborhood stability by removes large-scale commercial investors from the market while allowing local residents to supplement their income. This "primary residence" requirem...
Timings
Stages
Errors